{"id":2865,"date":"2023-08-11T22:17:01","date_gmt":"2023-08-11T15:17:01","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/appletransvn.com\/hieu-ung-domino-tu-cac-lenh-cam-xuat-khau-gao-dat-thi-truong-vao-the-canh-tranh\/"},"modified":"2023-08-11T22:17:01","modified_gmt":"2023-08-11T15:17:01","slug":"hieu-ung-domino-tu-cac-lenh-cam-xuat-khau-gao-dat-thi-truong-vao-the-canh-tranh","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/appletransvn.com\/vi\/hieu-ung-domino-tu-cac-lenh-cam-xuat-khau-gao-dat-thi-truong-vao-the-canh-tranh\/","title":{"rendered":"Hi\u1ec7u \u1ee9ng Domino t\u1eeb c\u00e1c l\u1ec7nh c\u1ea5m xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u g\u1ea1o \u0111\u1eb7t th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng v\u00e0o th\u1ebf c\u1ea1nh tranh"},"content":{"rendered":"
L\u1ec7nh c\u1ea5m xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u g\u1ea1o c\u1ee7a \u1ea4n \u0110\u1ed9 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 k\u00e9o theo c\u00e1c h\u00e0nh \u0111\u1ed9ng t\u01b0\u01a1ng t\u1ef1 t\u1eeb c\u00e1c qu\u1ed1c gia kh\u00e1c khi h\u1ecd bu\u1ed9c ph\u1ea3i h\u1ea1n ch\u1ebf XK \u0111\u1ec3 b\u1ea3o v\u1ec7 ng\u01b0\u1eddi ti\u00eau d\u00f9ng trong n\u01b0\u1edbc.<\/div>\n

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L\u1ec7nh c\u1ea5m xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u g\u1ea1o c\u1ee7a \u1ea4n \u0110\u1ed9 khi\u1ebfn th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi chu\u1ea9n b\u1ecb cho c\u00e1c h\u00e0nh \u0111\u1ed9ng t\u01b0\u01a1ng t\u1ef1 t\u1eeb c\u00e1c qu\u1ed1c gia kh\u00e1c \u0111\u1ec3 tr\u00e1nh t\u00ecnh tr\u1ea1ng thi\u1ebfu h\u1ee5t g\u1ea1o ti\u1ec1m \u1ea9n trong n\u01b0\u1edbc khi ng\u01b0\u1eddi b\u00e1n c\u1ed1 g\u1eafng l\u1ea5p \u0111\u1ea7y kho\u1ea3ng tr\u1ed1ng 10 tri\u1ec7u t\u1ea5n do New Delhi \u0111\u1ec3 l\u1ea1i, g\u00e2y lo ng\u1ea1i v\u1ec1 l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t l\u01b0\u01a1ng th\u1ef1c to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u v\u1ed1n \u0111\u00e3 cao.<\/p>\n

C\u00e1c nh\u00e0 ph\u00e2n t\u00edch cho bi\u1ebft, nh\u1eefng h\u1ea1n ch\u1ebf m\u1edbi nh\u1ea5t c\u1ee7a \u1ea4n \u0110\u1ed9 g\u1ea7n gi\u1ed1ng v\u1edbi nh\u1eefng h\u1ea1n ch\u1ebf m\u00e0 n\u01b0\u1edbc n\u00e0y \u00e1p \u0111\u1eb7t v\u00e0o n\u0103m 2007 v\u00e0 2008, \u0111i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y \u0111\u00e3 g\u00e2y ra hi\u1ec7u \u1ee9ng domino khi nhi\u1ec1u qu\u1ed1c gia kh\u00e1c bu\u1ed9c ph\u1ea3i h\u1ea1n ch\u1ebf xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u \u0111\u1ec3 b\u1ea3o v\u1ec7 ng\u01b0\u1eddi ti\u00eau d\u00f9ng trong n\u01b0\u1edbc.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\"Hi\u1ec7u<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n

L\u1ea7n n\u00e0y, t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi ngu\u1ed3n cung v\u00e0 gi\u00e1 c\u1ea3 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 c\u00f2n s\u00e2u r\u1ed9ng h\u01a1n, v\u00ec \u1ea4n \u0110\u1ed9 hi\u1ec7n chi\u1ebfm h\u01a1n 40% th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i g\u1ea1o to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u so v\u1edbi kho\u1ea3ng 22% c\u00e1ch \u0111\u00e2y 15 n\u0103m tr\u01b0\u1edbc, g\u00e2y \u00e1p l\u1ef1c l\u00ean c\u00e1c qu\u1ed1c gia xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u g\u1ea1o nh\u01b0 Th\u00e1i Lan.<\/p>\n

\u1ea4n \u0110\u1ed9 hi\u1ec7n nay quan tr\u1ecdng h\u01a1n nhi\u1ec1u \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i g\u1ea1o so v\u1edbi n\u0103m 2007 v\u00e0 2008 L\u1ec7nh c\u1ea5m c\u1ee7a \u1ea4n \u0110\u1ed9 khi \u0111\u00f3 \u0111\u00e3 bu\u1ed9c c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u kh\u00e1c ph\u1ea3i th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n c\u00e1c h\u1ea1n ch\u1ebf t\u01b0\u01a1ng t\u1ef1 theo .<\/p>\n

Ngay c\u1ea3 l\u00fac n\u00e0y, h\u1ecd c\u00f3 r\u1ea5t \u00edt l\u1ef1a ch\u1ecdn ngo\u00e0i vi\u1ec7c ph\u1ea3n \u1ee9ng v\u1edbi c\u00e1c th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng. T\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng l\u00ean gi\u00e1 c\u1ee7a m\u1eb7t h\u00e0ng l\u01b0\u01a1ng th\u1ef1c \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c ti\u00eau th\u1ee5 nhi\u1ec1u nh\u1ea5t tr\u00ean th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi di\u1ec5n ra nhanh ch\u00f3ng, \u0111\u1ea1t m\u1ee9c cao nh\u1ea5t trong 15 n\u0103m, sau khi \u1ea4n \u0110\u1ed9 g\u00e2y b\u1ea5t ng\u1edd cho ng\u01b0\u1eddi mua v\u00e0o th\u00e1ng tr\u01b0\u1edbc khi \u00e1p \u0111\u1eb7t l\u1ec7nh c\u1ea5m b\u00e1n g\u1ea1o tr\u1eafng non-basmati \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c ti\u00eau th\u1ee5 r\u1ed9ng r\u00e3i.<\/p>\n

New Delhi \u0111\u00e3 h\u1ea1n ch\u1ebf ngu\u1ed3n cung c\u1ea5p g\u1ea1o t\u1ea5m ch\u1ea5t l\u01b0\u1ee3ng th\u1ea5p h\u01a1n v\u00e0o n\u0103m 2022. C\u00e1c nh\u00e0 ph\u00e2n t\u00edch v\u00e0 th\u01b0\u01a1ng nh\u00e2n cho bi\u1ebft ngu\u1ed3n cung h\u1ea1n ch\u1ebf c\u00f3 nguy c\u01a1 l\u00e0m t\u0103ng gi\u00e1 g\u1ea1o v\u00e0 l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t l\u01b0\u01a1ng th\u1ef1c to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u, \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng \u0111\u1ebfn ng\u01b0\u1eddi ti\u00eau d\u00f9ng ngh\u00e8o \u1edf ch\u00e2u \u00c1 v\u00e0 ch\u00e2u Phi. C\u00e1c nh\u00e0 nh\u1eadp kh\u1ea9u th\u1ef1c ph\u1ea9m \u0111ang v\u1eadt l\u1ed9n v\u1edbi ngu\u1ed3n cung khan hi\u1ebfm do th\u1eddi ti\u1ebft th\u1ea5t th\u01b0\u1eddng v\u00e0 gi\u00e1n \u0111o\u1ea1n v\u1eadn chuy\u1ec3n qua Bi\u1ec3n \u0110en.<\/p>\n

Nitin Gupta, Ph\u00f3 Ch\u1ee7 t\u1ecbch c\u1ea5p cao c\u1ee7a Olam Agri \u1ea4n \u0110\u1ed9, m\u1ed9t trong nh\u1eefng nh\u00e0 xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u g\u1ea1o h\u00e0ng \u0111\u1ea7u th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi, cho bi\u1ebft: Th\u00e1i Lan, Vi\u1ec7t Nam v\u00e0 c\u00e1c n\u01b0\u1edbc xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u kh\u00e1c \u0111ang s\u1eb5n s\u00e0ng \u0111\u1ea9y m\u1ea1nh cu\u1ed9c ch\u01a1i, t\u1ea5t c\u1ea3 nh\u1eb1m thu h\u1eb9p kho\u1ea3ng c\u00e1ch xu\u1ea5t ph\u00e1t t\u1eeb s\u1ef1 thi\u1ebfu h\u1ee5t c\u1ee7a \u1ea4n \u0110\u1ed9.<\/p>\n

Tuy nhi\u00ean, v\u1eabn c\u00f2n t\u1ed3n t\u1ea1i m\u1ed9t h\u1ea1n ch\u1ebf trong vi\u1ec7c m\u1edf r\u1ed9ng kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u. H\u1ea1n ch\u1ebf n\u00e0y c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 t\u1ea1o ti\u1ec1n \u0111\u1ec1 cho vi\u1ec7c t\u0103ng gi\u00e1, g\u1ee3i nh\u1edb \u0111\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ee3t t\u0103ng gi\u00e1 \u0111\u00e1ng ch\u00fa \u00fd m\u00e0 ch\u00fang ta \u0111\u00e3 ch\u1ee9ng ki\u1ebfn trong n\u0103m 2007-2008.<\/p>\n

N\u0103m 2008, gi\u00e1 g\u1ea1o \u0111\u1ea1t m\u1ee9c cao k\u1ef7 l\u1ee5c tr\u00ean 1.000 USD\/t\u1ea5n sau khi \u1ea4n \u0110\u1ed9, Vi\u1ec7t Nam, Bangladesh, Ai C\u1eadp, Brazil v\u00e0 c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t nh\u1ecf kh\u00e1c h\u1ea1n ch\u1ebf xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u.<\/p>\n

L\u1ea7n n\u00e0y, c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u g\u1ea1o s\u1ebd kh\u00f4ng th\u1ec3 t\u0103ng xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u h\u01a1n 3 tri\u1ec7u t\u1ea5n m\u1ed7i n\u0103m khi h\u1ecd c\u1ed1 g\u1eafng \u0111\u00e1p \u1ee9ng nhu c\u1ea7u trong n\u01b0\u1edbc trong b\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh ngu\u1ed3n cung h\u1ea1n ch\u1ebf. Th\u00e1i Lan, Vi\u1ec7t Nam v\u00e0 Pakistan, l\u1ea7n l\u01b0\u1ee3t l\u00e0 c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u l\u1edbn th\u1ee9 hai, th\u1ee9 ba v\u00e0 th\u1ee9 t\u01b0 tr\u00ean th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi, cho bi\u1ebft h\u1ecd r\u1ea5t mu\u1ed1n t\u0103ng doanh s\u1ed1 b\u00e1n h\u00e0ng do nhu c\u1ea7u \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi c\u00e2y tr\u1ed3ng c\u1ee7a h\u1ecd t\u0103ng sau l\u1ec7nh c\u1ea5m c\u1ee7a \u1ea4n \u0110\u1ed9.<\/p>\n

C\u1ea3 Th\u00e1i Lan v\u00e0 Vi\u1ec7t Nam \u0111\u1ec1u nh\u1ea5n m\u1ea1nh s\u1ebd \u0111\u1ea3m b\u1ea3o r\u1eb1ng ng\u01b0\u1eddi ti\u00eau d\u00f9ng trong n\u01b0\u1edbc kh\u00f4ng b\u1ecb t\u1ed5n h\u1ea1i do xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u t\u0103ng.
Hi\u1ec7p h\u1ed9i c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u g\u1ea1o Pakistan (REAP) cho bi\u1ebft n\u01b0\u1edbc n\u00e0y \u0111ang ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i sau tr\u1eadn l\u0169 l\u1ee5t t\u00e0n ph\u00e1 n\u0103m ngo\u00e1i, c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u 4,5 tri\u1ec7u \u0111\u1ebfn 5,0 tri\u1ec7u t\u1ea5n t\u1eeb m\u1ee9c 3,6 tri\u1ec7u t\u1ea5n c\u1ee7a n\u0103m hi\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i. Tuy nhi\u00ean, n\u01b0\u1edbc n\u00e0y kh\u00f3 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 cho ph\u00e9p xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u kh\u00f4ng h\u1ea1n ch\u1ebf trong b\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t hai con s\u1ed1. <\/p>\n

Gi\u00e1 to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u \u0111\u00e3 t\u0103ng kho\u1ea3ng 20% k\u1ec3 t\u1eeb l\u1ec7nh c\u1ea5m c\u1ee7a \u1ea4n \u0110\u1ed9. Theo c\u00e1c th\u01b0\u01a1ng nh\u00e2n t\u1ea1i c\u00e1c c\u00f4ng ty th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf, m\u1ee9c t\u0103ng th\u00eam 15% c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 g\u00e2y ra c\u00e1c h\u1ea1n ch\u1ebf c\u1ee7a Th\u00e1i Lan v\u00e0 Vi\u1ec7t Nam.<\/p>\n

C\u00e2u h\u1ecfi kh\u00f4ng ph\u1ea3i l\u00e0 li\u1ec7u h\u1ecd c\u00f3 h\u1ea1n ch\u1ebf xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u hay kh\u00f4ng, m\u00e0 l\u00e0 h\u1ecd s\u1ebd h\u1ea1n ch\u1ebf bao nhi\u00eau v\u00e0 khi n\u00e0o h\u1ecd s\u1ebd th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n c\u00e1c bi\u1ec7n ph\u00e1p \u0111\u00f3. Gi\u00e1 g\u1ea1o \u1edf Th\u00e1i Lan v\u00e0 Vi\u1ec7t Nam t\u0103ng v\u1ecdt l\u00ean m\u1ee9c cao nh\u1ea5t trong 15 n\u0103m do ng\u01b0\u1eddi mua \u0111\u1ed5 x\u00f4 mua c\u00e1c l\u00f4 h\u00e0ng \u0111\u1ec3 b\u00f9 \u0111\u1eafp cho s\u1ef1 s\u1ee5t gi\u1ea3m xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u c\u1ee7a \u1ea4n \u0110\u1ed9.<\/p>\n

G\u1ea1o l\u00e0 l\u01b0\u01a1ng th\u1ef1c ch\u00ednh c\u1ee7a h\u01a1n 3 t\u1ef7 ng\u01b0\u1eddi v\u00e0 g\u1ea7n 90% c\u00e2y tr\u1ed3ng c\u1ea7n nhi\u1ec1u n\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t \u1edf ch\u00e2u \u00c1, n\u01a1i s\u1ef1 xu\u1ea5t hi\u1ec7n c\u1ee7a th\u1eddi ti\u1ebft El Nino kh\u00f4 h\u1ea1n \u0111e d\u1ecda m\u00f9a m\u00e0ng \u1edf c\u00e1c n\u01b0\u1edbc s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t ch\u00ednh. Sau l\u01b0\u1ee3ng m\u01b0a d\u01b0\u1edbi m\u1ee9c b\u00ecnh th\u01b0\u1eddng v\u00e0o th\u00e1ng 6 v\u00e0 th\u00e1ng 7, Th\u00e1i Lan \u0111\u00e3 khuy\u1ebfn c\u00e1o n\u00f4ng d\u00e2n h\u1ea1n ch\u1ebf di\u1ec7n t\u00edch tr\u1ed3ng l\u00faa v\u1ee5 th\u1ee9 hai.<\/p>\n

\u1ede \u1ea4n \u0110\u1ed9, l\u01b0\u1ee3ng m\u01b0a gi\u00f3 m\u00f9a ph\u00e2n b\u1ed1 th\u1ea5t th\u01b0\u1eddng \u0111\u00e3 d\u1eabn \u0111\u1ebfn l\u0169 l\u1ee5t \u1edf m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 bang tr\u1ed3ng l\u00faa ph\u00eda b\u1eafc, ngay c\u1ea3 khi m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 bang ph\u00eda \u0111\u00f4ng thi\u1ebfu l\u01b0\u1ee3ng m\u01b0a \u0111\u1ec3 b\u1eaft \u0111\u1ea7u gieo tr\u1ed3ng.<\/p>\n

Hi\u1ec7p h\u1ed9i c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u g\u1ea1o \u1ea4n \u0110\u1ed9 cho bi\u1ebft, l\u01b0\u1ee3ng m\u01b0a gi\u00f3 m\u00f9a t\u1ed1t l\u00e0 c\u1ea7n thi\u1ebft \u0111\u1ec3 s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t b\u00ecnh th\u01b0\u1eddng, \u0111i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y s\u1ebd cho ph\u00e9p New Delhi \u0111\u1ea3o ng\u01b0\u1ee3c l\u1ec7nh c\u1ea5m xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u g\u1ea1o. Ch\u1ec9 c\u00f3 ngu\u1ed3n cung c\u1ee7a \u1ea4n \u0110\u1ed9 m\u1edbi c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 kh\u00f4i ph\u1ee5c tr\u1ea1ng th\u00e1i c\u00e2n b\u1eb1ng tr\u00ean th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng g\u1ea1o to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u.<\/p>\n

C\u00e1c nh\u00e0 ph\u00e2n t\u00edch c\u1ee7a H\u1ed9i \u0111\u1ed3ng Ng\u0169 c\u1ed1c Qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf (IGC) t\u1ea1i London cho bi\u1ebft s\u1ebd ph\u1ea3i xem c\u00e1c h\u1ea1n ch\u1ebf c\u1ee7a \u1ea4n \u0110\u1ed9 c\u00f3 hi\u1ec7u l\u1ef1c trong bao l\u00e2u. L\u1ec7nh c\u1ea5m c\u00f3 hi\u1ec7u l\u1ef1c c\u00e0ng l\u00e2u th\u00ec c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u kh\u00e1c c\u00e0ng kh\u00f3 b\u00f9 \u0111\u1eafp cho s\u1ef1 thi\u1ebfu h\u1ee5t.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

Duy H\u01b0ng (t\u1ed5ng h\u1ee3p)<\/div>\n
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L\u1ec7nh c\u1ea5m xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u g\u1ea1o c\u1ee7a \u1ea4n \u0110\u1ed9 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 k\u00e9o theo c\u00e1c h\u00e0nh \u0111\u1ed9ng t\u01b0\u01a1ng t\u1ef1 t\u1eeb c\u00e1c qu\u1ed1c gia kh\u00e1c khi h\u1ecd bu\u1ed9c ph\u1ea3i h\u1ea1n ch\u1ebf XK \u0111\u1ec3 b\u1ea3o v\u1ec7 ng\u01b0\u1eddi ti\u00eau d\u00f9ng trong n\u01b0\u1edbc. 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